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2008 Research

UWB 2008: Short-Term Problems and Long-Term Potential
802.15.4—A New Sense of Energy
1394 2008: Is FireWire Still Burning?
DVI and HDMI 2008: A Time of Transition
Bluetooth 2008: New Standards Signify an Increasingly Complex Market
Wireless USB 2008: The Journey Begins
DisplayPort 2008: The DVI Killer Arrives
Wired USB 2008: SuperSpeed is Coming
US Interface Survey: Tracking Interface Usage on Work and Home PCs

 
2008 Research

UWB 2008: Short-Term Problems and Long-Term Potential

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Product Number: IN0804103MI
Publication Date: December 2008
Number of Pages: 55
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $3,695 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The market for ultrawideband (UWB) devices was bumpy in 2008, with multiple chip companies leaving the market in the second half of the year. However, regulatory hurdles have been cleared to some extent, allowing for the release of worldwide chip SKUs by some chip vendors. There are currently five mobile PC vendors shipping UWB-enabled products. Hub and dongle solutions remain a transition to more embedded devices on the market.
 
 The primary question for UWB now is: Will other product segments follow where PCs lead? UWB is a very flexible technology in that it supports multiple standards, including WUSB, Bluetooth 3.0, and IP over UWB. This should enable the technology to gain design wins in a wide range of product segments, including PC peripherals, consumer electronics (CE), and mobile phones.
 
 This report contains analysis and annual shipment forecasts through 2012 for the penetration of UWB into 22 separate applications within the following product segments: PC, PC peripheral, CE, communications, and industrial/medical. The annual penetration forecast for UWB into each application is broken down by WiMedia UWB and proprietary UWB. Profiles of leading UWB chip vendors and IP suppliers are included.

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802.15.4—A New Sense of Energy

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Product Number: IN0804105MI
Publication Date: December 2008
Number of Pages: 37
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $3,295 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Wireless sensor networks are making some headway in smart energy, industrial control, and other applications through IEEE802.15.4 technologies. While ZigBee, through its impressive marketing efforts in the US, owned the largest mind share in the wireless sensor networking space for the past several years, a whole host of proprietary software stacks are being used in applications where ZigBee is more than what is required by the specific applications. This is resulting in a large number of technologies being used for countless applications, and ZigBee usage more focused on a single, yet fast growing application—smart energy.
 
 In addition to proprietary standards, other consortia are building industry standards on 802.15.4 for other applications, including industrial, building, and home automation. These technologies will help drive volume and lower chip costs for 802.15.4 components.
 
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1394 2008: Is FireWire Still Burning?

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Product Number: IN0804096MI
Publication Date: November 2008
Number of Pages: 38
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 IEEE 1394 (1394) is a high-speed serial bus found in PCs, PC peripherals, and consumer electronics (CE) devices. The technology is facing significant challenges in 2008. 1394 suffers from being the second choice technology in many product segments. 1394 market share in the PC market is shrinking, and is dwarfed by high-speed USB’s 100% penetration. This has helped high-speed USB to become the interface of choice for PC peripherals such as printers, scanners, and external hard disk drives.
 
 In the CE segment, 1394 is being surpassed by HDMI as the digital interface of choice in digital televisions, set-top boxes, and DVD players. Even in markets where 1394 was very strong, such as digital camcorders, it is being challenged by high-speed USB. In the automotive segment, 1394 has been slow to market, and MOST is the dominant auto networking interface. In the industrial segment 1394 is found primarily in security and machine vision cameras.
 
 This report contains analysis and five-year forecasts for all 1394-enabled products, breaking out each PC, PC peripheral, CE, automotive, or industrial application by penetration of 1394a and 1394b for each forecast year. Analysis is provided for all types of 1394, including 1394c and 1394 over Coax. Brief profiles of major 1394 silicon and IP suppliers are also provided.

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DVI and HDMI 2008: A Time of Transition

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Product Number: IN0804099MI
Publication Date: November 2008
Number of Pages: 55
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $3,695 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Digital visual interface (DVI) and sister technology high-definition multimedia interface (HDMI) are both high-bandwidth digital interface specifications. DVI-enabled shipments will peak at 117 million in both 2007 and 2008, but should decline thereafter due to the entry of the DisplayPort in the PC and PC peripheral segment.
 
 HDMI was immediately successful upon its 2003 introduction, driven primarily by the CE segment. There were HDMI ports in the vast majority of digital televisions, DVD players and recorders, and A/V receivers shipped in 2007. A smaller HDMI port is leading to increased penetration of portable devices, such as digital camcorders and digital still cameras.
 
 This report contains analysis and five-year annual worldwide forecasts for the penetration of DVI and HDMI into 22 different applications in PCs, PC peripherals, CE, and communications devices. Five-year average selling price forecasts for discrete DVI and HDMI transmitters and receivers are provided. Past history of penetration forecasts back to 2006 is also included, in addition to brief profiles of major DVI and HDMI silicon and IP suppliers. Survey data on HDMI familiarity and use from consumers in the US, UK, Germany, France, Japan, and Korea is also included.

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Bluetooth 2008: New Standards Signify an Increasingly Complex Market

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Product Number: IN0804097MI
Publication Date: July 2008
Number of Pages: 66
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $3,795 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Bluetooth saw continued success in 2007, with more than 800 million Bluetooth-enabled devices shipping in the PC, PC peripheral, consumer electronics (CE), communications, automotive, and industrial/medical device segments. Over one billion devices are expected to ship in 2008, and shipments are forecast to grow at a CAGR of 18.1% over the 2007–2012 forecast period.
 
 New Bluetooth specifications are on the horizon. The Low-Energy specification, expected to be adopted this year, will provide newfound opportunities for Bluetooth silicon in medical and industrial devices. Additionally, a High-Speed specification, to be based on either UWB or Wi-Fi, is expected to make inroads in data- and media-intensive applications, such as streaming video or music to or from a mobile phone.
 
 This report contains five-year forecasts for the penetration of Bluetooth into products within the PC, PC peripheral, communications, CE, automotive, and industrial/medical segments. Additionally, five-year forecasts are provided for Bluetooth silicon ASPs, as well as for shipments and revenues of varying Bluetooth silicon types. In addition, the report also contains responses on Bluetooth and wireless headsets from three separate In-Stat surveys: domestic phone and web surveys, and an international web survey of Japanese, Korean, German, French and British consumers. Also included are profiles of major Bluetooth silicon manufacturers.

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Wireless USB 2008: The Journey Begins

 Information
Product Number: IN0804104MI
Publication Date: July 2008
Number of Pages: 42
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Wireless USB (WUSB), based on the WiMedia version of ultrawideband (UWB), is designed to take the universal connection into the wireless realm. Targeted at PCs, PC peripherals, consumer electronics (CE), and mobile phones, the first devices with the technology shipped in 2007, including notebook PCs and hub and dongle solutions.
 
 WUSB is currently hampered by the high price of the underlying UWB silicon. This is expected to limit its appeal until prices fall substantially from their current levels. Ultimately, WUSB should succeed because the underlying UWB technology allows the transmission of large amounts of data in a power efficient manner, when compared with competing technologies like Wi-Fi.
 
 This report tracks the global market for WUSB in 22 different applications within four product segments: PCs, PC peripherals, consumer electronics, and communications. Annual penetration of WUSB in each of these markets is tracked annually through 2012. An annual WUSB chip solution ASP forecast through 2012 is also provided. Brief profiles of WUSB semiconductor and IP vendors are also included.

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DisplayPort 2008: The DVI Killer Arrives

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Product Number: IN0804098MI
Publication Date: May 2008
Number of Pages: 23
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 DisplayPort is a next-generation digital interface for PCs and LCD monitors. It was designed as an immediate replacement for DVI, and a long-term replacement for VGA. DisplayPort ports will be found in PCs and LCD monitors in 2008. In addition to the ability to connect devices, DisplayPort also acts as an internal interface replacement for low voltage differential signaling (LVDS) in PCs and monitors. This allows for the development of direct drive monitors, which will lower bill-of-materials costs in monitors.
 
 The forecast for DisplayPort in consumer electronics is less clear. Although DisplayPort is expected to have some success as an internal interconnect in digital televisions (DTV), this will not necessarily translate to DisplayPort ports on DTVs.
 
 This report tracks the global market for DisplayPort-enabled devices, defined as devices with DisplayPort ports, in eleven different applications within three product segments: PCs, PC peripherals, and consumer electronics. Annual penetration of DisplayPort in each of the eleven markets is tracked through 2012. A DisplayPort transmitter and receiver chip ASP forecast through 2012 is also provided. Brief profiles of DisplayPort semiconductor vendors are also included.

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Wired USB 2008: SuperSpeed is Coming

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Product Number: IN0804102MI
Publication Date: April 2008
Number of Pages: 47
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The universal serial bus (USB) saw continued worldwide success in 2007, with more than 2.6 billion devices shipping in the PC, PC peripheral, consumer electronics (CE), communications, and automotive segments. USB's star is expected to maintain its rise, with close to four billion devices expected to ship in 2012.
 
 2008 is expected to be a pivotal marker of USB’s achievements as well, as the number of high-speed USB-enabled device shipments will surpass those of low- and full-speed devices. The CE segment has been a strong driver of this success, with continued adoption of USB in digital cameras, portable digital media players, and digital televisions.
 
 The major buzz in the USB ecosystem is the impending arrival of the SuperSpeed USB specification. The USB 3.0 version of the specification, when implemented, is anticipated to deliver actual speeds of approximately 3Gbps, a rate significantly higher than that of high-speed USB. This speed is expected to be harnessed primarily by data- and media-intensive peripherals and consumer electronics, such as external hard-disk drives, portable digital media players, and digital cameras, as well as the PCs that these devices connect to. Products incorporating SuperSpeed USB are expected to arrive on the market in late 2009, and shipments of SuperSpeed USB-enabled products are expected to multiply twenty-fold by 2012.

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US Interface Survey: Tracking Interface Usage on Work and Home PCs

 Information
Product Number: IN0804100MI
Publication Date: February 2008
Number of Pages: 23
Analyst: Brian O'Rourke
Price: $2,495 U.S.